CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51edaf411f0c1b6a1d613e71bc7db054e756bc1d64237f0672a04b50952ced0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MEIA NOITEof MEIA NOITE, BORRACHEIROS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked BORRACHEIROS | 8c | 831$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BORRACHEIROS | 47c | 286.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MEIA NOITE | 57c | 285$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MEIA NOITE | 53c | 278.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed BORRACHEIROS | 51c | 275.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BORRACHEIROS | 28c | 239.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed BORRACHEIROS | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MEIA NOITE | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed BORRACHEIROS | 28c | 139$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MEIA NOITE | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed BORRACHEIROS | 43c | 98.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 27c | 98.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked MEIA NOITE | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BORRACHEIROS | 34c | 87.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MEIA NOITE | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MEIA NOITE | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 25c | 75.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MEIA NOITE | 67c | 54.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BORRACHEIROS | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MEIA NOITE | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MEIA NOITE | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed MEIA NOITE | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MEIA NOITE | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked MEIA NOITE | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed BORRACHEIROS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsMEIA NOITE won
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 WinnerMEIA NOITE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.