CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4571808c9faf98125b5353a730eb17d509bea8b8692649e6743247f290a1f172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MEIA NOITEof MEIA NOITE, BORRACHEIROS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MEIA NOITE | 52c | 662.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MEIA NOITE | 47c | 648.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BORRACHEIROS | 53c | 562.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 54c | 374.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BORRACHEIROS | 31c | 333.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MEIA NOITE | 46c | 326.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed MEIA NOITE | 31c | 293.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 35c | 232.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 45c | 195$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MEIA NOITE | 47c | 188.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BORRACHEIROS | 52c | 157.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked MEIA NOITE | 26c | 154.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BORRACHEIROS | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BORRACHEIROS | 53c | 127.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BORRACHEIROS | 53c | 87.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MEIA NOITE | 70c | 72.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed BORRACHEIROS | 56c | 70.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BORRACHEIROS | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed BORRACHEIROS | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed MEIA NOITE | 49c | 51.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BORRACHEIROS | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BORRACHEIROS | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MEIA NOITE | 59c | 46.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed MEIA NOITE | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed BORRACHEIROS | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BORRACHEIROS | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed MEIA NOITE | 47c | 30.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BORRACHEIROS | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BORRACHEIROS | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MEIA NOITE | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsMEIA NOITE won
- Counter-Strike: MEIA NOITE vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 WinnerMEIA NOITE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.