Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523ab1c926521bed18c08e02a190f3a75c266e7356550f93f29605fd68b75243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stearnsof Bartunkova, Stearns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Bartunkova | 48c | 8,650$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.95 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…3bb4backed Stearns | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked Stearns | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Stearns | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Bartunkova | 50c | 602.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Stearns | 52c | 560.84$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Stearns | 52c | 426.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.53 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Bartunkova | 50c | 402.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Stearns | 52c | 401.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Stearns | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bartunkova | 49c | 298.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 273 | 31.5%86 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…0396backed Stearns | 52c | 253.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stearns | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stearns | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Stearns | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Stearns | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Stearns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Stearns | 52c | 186.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Stearns | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Stearns | 52c | 137.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Stearns | 52c | 130.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Stearns | 52c | 111.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Stearns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Stearns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Stearns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Stearns | 49c | 78.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Stearns | 52c | 69.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed Stearns | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Bartunkova | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Stearns | 50c | 52.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Stearns | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Bartunkova | 49c | 46.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Stearns | 51c | 41.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Stearns | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 976 | 44.6%435 W · 541 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Stearns | 51c | 36.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Stearns | 52c | 34.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Stearns | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Stearns | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Stearns | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Stearns | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Stearns | 52c | 24.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)this page
- Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola BartunkovaNikola Bartunkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.