Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast, Women: Surrey vs The Blaze
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525bb0b29199fd32e6db82c88ab8d0a358cd6cdfad67db8fb3fbf81f85848c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Blazeof Surrey, The Blaze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Surrey | 9c | 1,846$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Surrey | 3c | 463.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked The Blaze | 48c | 261.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked The Blaze | 41c | 169.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed The Blaze | 62c | 162$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Surrey | 49c | 145.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked The Blaze | 34c | 130.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Surrey | 45c | 110.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 58c | 89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…a681backed Surrey | 53c | 80.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed The Blaze | 41c | 74.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed The Blaze | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed The Blaze | 56c | 57.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Surrey | 60c | 50.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked The Blaze | 49c | 44.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed The Blaze | 69c | 43.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Surrey | 36c | 30.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed The Blaze | 48c | 25.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Surrey | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.