NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5273436fa9eb953fb4f3cf4f4cb36438c6d6f4e144710b7b7360449fb4fbece2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia 76ersof Philadelphia 76ers, Indiana Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Indiana Pacers | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Indiana Pacers | 5c | 1,585$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Philadelphia 76ers | 72c | 1,205$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 1,022$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Indiana Pacers | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 880.31$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.47 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Pacers | 28c | 869.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 73c | 796$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Pacers | 35c | 599.63$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Indiana Pacers | 11c | 560.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Indiana Pacers | 33c | 500.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Pacers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Pacers | 40c | 435.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Indiana Pacers | 17c | 413$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Indiana Pacers | 34c | 372$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Indiana Pacers | 21c | 337$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Indiana Pacers | 14c | 307.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Pacers | 19c | 303.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 65c | 290.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Pacers | 23c | 278.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Indiana Pacers | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Indiana Pacers | 33c | 223.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Indiana Pacers | 47c | 213.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 209.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Indiana Pacers | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Indiana Pacers | 42c | 198$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 77c | 176.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Indiana Pacers | 30c | 168.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Indiana Pacers | 25c | 122.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Indiana Pacers | 53c | 119.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Indiana Pacers | 21c | 109$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 59c | 102.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Philadelphia 76ers | 75c | 96.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Indiana Pacers | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Indiana Pacers | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Philadelphia 76ers | 68c | 63.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Indiana Pacers | 29c | 50.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Indiana Pacers | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Indiana Pacers | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Indiana Pacers | 45c | 33.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Philadelphia 76ers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 60c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Philadelphia 76ers | 59c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philadelphia 76ers | 58c | 22.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.