Tennis · resolved market
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Denis Petak vs Nik Mikovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52d0ad0ff5546cec244a8047ed31c43ce52f4bb4477be27156546e49442c40dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denis Petakof Denis Petak, Nik Mikovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nik Mikovic | 33c | 4,411$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.1 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denis Petak | 67c | 3,034$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.53 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Denis Petak | 67c | 1,082$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.81 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nik Mikovic | 30c | 967.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.73 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nik Mikovic | 29c | 459.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Denis Petak | 67c | 408$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.93 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nik Mikovic | 28c | 279.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Denis Petak | 67c | 269.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denis Petak | 63c | 264.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nik Mikovic | 16c | 136.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Denis Petak | 68c | 120.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Denis Petak | 72c | 101.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Denis Petak | 67c | 101.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Denis Petak | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Denis Petak | 67c | 61.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Denis Petak | 65c | 51.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Denis Petak | 67c | 48.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nik Mikovic | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Denis Petak | 67c | 35.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Nik Mikovic | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Denis Petak | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Denis Petak | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Denis Petak | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Denis Petak | 67c | 20.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Denis Petak | 67c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denis Petak | 73c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.