TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,007 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf84e…6cbebacked Bilibili Gaming57c2,057$1,181 inWon+$876.42050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming44c1,514$662 inLost-$662.2619157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Bilibili Gaming69c581.5$400 inWon+$181.57659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Dragon Ranger Gaming44c343.21$152 inLost-$151.866552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Dragon Ranger Gaming21c307.93$65 inLost-$65.442634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming51c300$153 inWon+$14714447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming37c298$110 inLost-$109.5752050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Dragon Ranger Gaming49c288.66$141 inLost-$141.4424946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming40c149$59 inLost-$59.266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming37c143$53 inLost-$52.5379650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Bilibili Gaming51c130.21$66 inWon+$64.172733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming32c110.94$35 inLost-$34.9539545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming70c103$72 inWon+$30.7718241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming67c83$56 inWon+$27.171,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Dragon Ranger Gaming36c64$23 inLost-$23.0331634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Bilibili Gaming63c57.48$36 inWon+$21.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming67c51.02$34 inWon+$16.61,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Bilibili Gaming67c37.31$25 inWon+$12.3114454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming67c36.55$25 inWon+$11.9251948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Bilibili Gaming69c29.88$21 inWon+$9.2611152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Bilibili Gaming58c24.21$14 inWon+$10.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.