NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a60ef4f59b7be7b9111a64ff4606046c2ec5765a08a7de25935da50934e6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Utah, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 2,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.54 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 1,596$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.44 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Utah | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 41c | 758.54$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.01 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 714.83$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.33 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Utah | 41c | 681.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 554.25$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blue Jackets | 61c | 383.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Utah | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 40c | 243$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 169.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 39c | 139.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Blue Jackets | 60c | 135$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 122.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 114.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Utah | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blue Jackets | 62c | 82.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Utah | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Utah | 40c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Utah | 38c | 52.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Utah | 41c | 50.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Utah | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Utah | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Blue Jackets | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blue Jackets | 60c | 34.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Utah | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Utah | 39c | 33.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Utah | 38c | 32.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Utah | 54c | 21.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blue Jackets | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Blue Jackets | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. UtahBlue Jackets won
- Blue Jackets vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.