CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53bfb48911f893516dbe319b15bc9599dac9b15998e10a09ba191fdfb19df08e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, kONO.ECF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,011 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,587$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.45 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed kONO.ECF | 26c | 1,583$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.48 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,175$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed kONO.ECF | 18c | 907.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed kONO.ECF | 24c | 818.35$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 773.77$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.68 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed kONO.ECF | 11c | 506.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed kONO.ECF | 26c | 331.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed kONO.ECF | 9c | 299.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked kONO.ECF | 9c | 258.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked kONO.ECF | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed kONO.ECF | 26c | 219.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 203.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed kONO.ECF | 7c | 203.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed kONO.ECF | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed kONO.ECF | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed kONO.ECF | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked kONO.ECF | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed kONO.ECF | 25c | 196.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 178.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed kONO.ECF | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked kONO.ECF | 10c | 121.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 98.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked kONO.ECF | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked kONO.ECF | 25c | 51.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…f7afbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 35.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 30.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs kONO.ECF - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs kONO.ECF (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.