MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f2edd12e08a3ba75e5c0b842fdbd2ce31dbde277a8750b8094acaefa1eb1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Chicago White Sox, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,447 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,004$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.54 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 1,739$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.72 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Chicago White Sox | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 366.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 348.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 297.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 234$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 226.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 171.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 170.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 128.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 122.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 105.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 96.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox | 23c | 75.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 44.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 29.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.