CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54621e1045b3a69d2d5091ff6f4be015ad206ce29adb08fda18510ffec9ef1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 0c | 10,008$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 40c | 6,149$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.36 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed G2 | 39c | 6,122$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.16 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed FURIA | 59c | 5,402$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.96 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed G2 | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked FURIA | 65c | 3,709$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.19 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 60c | 3,330$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed G2 | 24c | 1,975$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed FURIA | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked G2 | 42c | 1,521$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.96 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked FURIA | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed G2 | 42c | 963.32$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.6 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked G2 | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked FURIA | 60c | 831.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FURIA | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 24c | 664$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed G2 | 8c | 650$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed G2 | 41c | 599.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed FURIA | 58c | 388$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked FURIA | 57c | 258.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked G2 | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 | 21c | 241.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked G2 | 36c | 180$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…3ef6backed FURIA | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked FURIA | 60c | 168.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed FURIA | 58c | 162.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed FURIA | 54c | 132.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked G2 | 42c | 118.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…a34fbacked G2 | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed FURIA | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed G2 | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked G2 | 22c | 80.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FURIA | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked FURIA | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FURIA | 58c | 78.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed FURIA | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed FURIA | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FURIA | 60c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FURIA | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed FURIA | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.