TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Islanders, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a68…f88abacked Islanders50c10,499$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Islanders10c8,043$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Ducks50c6,892$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,446.131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf334…0a0fbacked Ducks50c5,899$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7caa…8872backed Ducks50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Islanders7c3,905$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Islanders50c3,797$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.529251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks49c2,799$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.5892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Islanders50c2,030$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0153435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ducks55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.647634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders51c1,328$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.461,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Islanders7c1,092$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1911365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e9…a868backed Ducks50c1,055$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Islanders51c981.52$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5821255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Islanders48c750$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks74c677.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3327958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders50c669$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ducks72c639.06$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks48c584.63$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Islanders51c513.59$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Islanders52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders49c496.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.421,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Islanders49c439.97$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Islanders11c372.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Ducks76c328.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.92785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks65c286.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Islanders11c246.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.128451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Ducks51c245.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.687256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Islanders52c221.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xce34…9d52backed Islanders50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…fcf1backed Ducks50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders41c213.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.891,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks50c202$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f2…b2c4backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc8…a4a4backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c8…6c62backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a9…3f37backed Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe654…fc9ebacked Islanders50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Islanders49c199.88$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.947550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dd…9061backed Ducks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…78eabacked Ducks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…d509backed Ducks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9301…eb01backed Ducks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…f35ebacked Ducks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Islanders51c192.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Ducks50c179.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.692365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5c…c46abacked Islanders50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Ducks50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bd…de55backed Islanders49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e9…9ae6backed Ducks51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…5dd7backed Islanders48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1364…d17fbacked Ducks52c155$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders15c140.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Islanders32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…93fdbacked Islanders31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…57d0backed Ducks68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Ducks69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Islanders52c136.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.831650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed Islanders51c120.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5947…8bdabacked Ducks51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed Ducks49c116.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks50c114.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Ducks49c109.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.742653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…3f38backed Islanders51c106.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3941…12c3backed Ducks51c105.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54bb…c463backed Islanders51c105.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52a…cb4abacked Ducks51c103.76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7ef…ac6dbacked Islanders52c103.23$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…2310backed Ducks50c102.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde36…c050backed Islanders51c102.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e75…14acbacked Ducks50c102.82$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a66…baa9backed Ducks51c102.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Ducks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5150857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Islanders50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ef…4322backed Ducks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe684…9202backed Islanders32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1266…de75backed Islanders33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3209…f94dbacked Ducks68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc845…9175backed Islanders50c99.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2871…2f3dbacked Ducks50c98.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Islanders44c98.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.351428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9498…d2afbacked Islanders52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431f…1fe9backed Ducks52c97.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.195100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x933d…dbe9backed Islanders50c97.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Islanders52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Ducks50c95.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.742373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3427…011dbacked Islanders52c95.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b1…f295backed Ducks50c93.34$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e86…f837backed Ducks50c93.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Islanders52c90.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2bb…f7e9backed Islanders50c89.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x128f…1fb8backed Ducks49c88.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Islanders51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…c370backed Islanders52c81.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.