Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Ghana: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c62dc6efed74f37e76a820bd3fd32116f4b5a9f8f0b10943061a703d33aeba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 990.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 455.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 332.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 38c | 331.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 6c | 308$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 289.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 150.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…d05dbacked Yes | 39c | 95.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…f194backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 89.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 60c | 83.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 28c | 53.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…342abacked Yes | 39c | 38.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 38c | 33.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 68c | 28.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 28.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Second half draw?this page
- Colombia to win the second half?No won
- Ghana to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.