Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Hanyi Liu vs Yaojie Zeng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54d12b8199a2aaf0cce79490b53ef8bce0d361749d35535af4278f5095609524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanyi Liuof Hanyi Liu, Yaojie Zeng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Yaojie Zeng | 32c | 1,917$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.72 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hanyi Liu | 63c | 1,671$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.32 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Yaojie Zeng | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanyi Liu | 55c | 753.93$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.78 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yaojie Zeng | 29c | 541.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yaojie Zeng | 52c | 503.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hanyi Liu | 67c | 445$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Yaojie Zeng | 48c | 420.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yaojie Zeng | 49c | 419.12$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Hanyi Liu | 55c | 399.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanyi Liu | 60c | 372$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Yaojie Zeng | 52c | 327.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanyi Liu | 62c | 312.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Yaojie Zeng | 62c | 256.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yaojie Zeng | 64c | 231.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Hanyi Liu | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Yaojie Zeng | 26c | 225$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanyi Liu | 56c | 161.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Hanyi Liu | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Hanyi Liu | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Yaojie Zeng | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yaojie Zeng | 59c | 147.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanyi Liu | 62c | 99.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hanyi Liu | 53c | 99.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hanyi Liu | 45c | 99.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hanyi Liu | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Hanyi Liu | 37c | 81.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2bcbbacked Yaojie Zeng | 56c | 74.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Yaojie Zeng | 32c | 70.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanyi Liu | 35c | 64.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Hanyi Liu | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…6359backed Yaojie Zeng | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Yaojie Zeng | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yaojie Zeng | 54c | 48.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yaojie Zeng | 63c | 43.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yaojie Zeng | 63c | 39.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yaojie Zeng | 64c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yaojie Zeng | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Yaojie Zeng | 40c | 27.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yaojie Zeng | 39c | 26.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hanyi Liu | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Hanyi Liu | 56c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.