Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Yusuke Takahashi vs Hiromasa Koyama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54fa1933bb88d28522f9ea38e6721532605a39d3befb233c40ab8e31a3244e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yusuke Takahashiof Yusuke Takahashi, Hiromasa Koyama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 17c | 2,917$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.75 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hiromasa Koyama | 14c | 2,902$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.28 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 17c | 2,825$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.15 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 17c | 2,763$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.39 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 1,855$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.93 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hiromasa Koyama | 14c | 1,731$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.26 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hiromasa Koyama | 17c | 1,196$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hiromasa Koyama | 15c | 692.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Hiromasa Koyama | 22c | 651.02$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hiromasa Koyama | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 21c | 425.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Yusuke Takahashi | 75c | 390$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 23c | 379.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hiromasa Koyama | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Hiromasa Koyama | 23c | 357.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hiromasa Koyama | 16c | 346.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hiromasa Koyama | 21c | 213.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hiromasa Koyama | 25c | 196.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 19c | 182.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hiromasa Koyama | 28c | 164.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7475backed Hiromasa Koyama | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yusuke Takahashi | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hiromasa Koyama | 19c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…4b0ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Hiromasa Koyama | 27c | 66.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 64.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Hiromasa Koyama | 25c | 52.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Hiromasa Koyama | 29c | 50.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 68c | 50.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…4850backed Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 47.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe294…d74bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hiromasa Koyama | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Yusuke Takahashi | 74c | 33.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 278 | 55.8%155 W · 123 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 78c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…78f5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 76c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.