Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Edda Mamedova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55145e5dece5d06244d800948c3cdaeadb7f7c05b99ac86ae4c5b30cdc955038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asylzhan Arystanbekovaof Asylzhan Arystanbekova, Edda Mamedova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Edda Mamedova | 75c | 10,113$7,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 25c | 8,752$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Edda Mamedova | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 66c | 400.1$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 52c | 252.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 56c | 183.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 48c | 174$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 20c | 96.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 57c | 87.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 47c | 71.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 43c | 58.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 34c | 52.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…c15bbacked Edda Mamedova | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…f861backed Edda Mamedova | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Edda Mamedova | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Edda Mamedova | 28c | 37.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 63c | 28.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Edda Mamedova | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Edda Mamedova | 76c | 20.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Edda Mamedova | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Edda Mamedova | 73c | 14.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.