MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5545340e98e30303de13bcc6d1a2f400017a9de78d8ef1de8650555fc1ebccde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Reds, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Reds | 52c | 10,020$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.33 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cardinals | 48c | 3,985$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.15 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,758$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.96 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 7c | 2,454$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Reds | 37c | 2,440$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 2,438$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 58c | 2,168$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 70c | 1,681$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.97 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 67c | 1,095$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.87 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Reds | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 16c | 877.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 47c | 860$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Reds | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 49c | 699.97$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 66c | 644.02$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 48c | 508.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Cardinals | 47c | 496.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 70c | 440.54$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cardinals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 54c | 407.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 40c | 393.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Reds | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 47c | 347.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 331.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 47c | 317.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 36c | 285.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 42c | 272.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 8c | 268.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cardinals | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Reds | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 198.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Reds | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Reds | 53c | 125.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Reds | 51c | 116.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…7343backed Cardinals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…0a79backed Reds | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…035ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…bd8dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 81.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd9…82d3backed Reds | 54c | 80.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cardinals | 65c | 77.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…a1c6backed Reds | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Cardinals | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Reds | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Cardinals | 48c | 61.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cardinals | 47c | 56.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Reds | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Reds | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Reds | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Reds | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Cardinals | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Reds | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Reds | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Reds | 50c | 42.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Cardinals | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Cardinals | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Reds | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Reds | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Reds | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…80a4backed Cardinals | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Reds | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cardinals | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Cardinals | 62c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Cardinals | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Reds | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Reds | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Cardinals | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Cardinals | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Reds | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.