Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556be110e5ae88454058f5dd9d2de569ee302f43b16620f526a27a29d9c8dd4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Murray State Racers, Northern Iowa Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 63c | 12,199$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Murray State Racers | 55c | 7,100$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murray State Racers | 36c | 3,812$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Murray State Racers | 9c | 1,519$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 70c | 1,376$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.67 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Murray State Racers | 30c | 1,113$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 45c | 1,097$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.42 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 1,003$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 53c | 1,002$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.73 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 975$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.65 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murray State Racers | 56c | 850.42$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Murray State Racers | 54c | 770$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Murray State Racers | 56c | 749.71$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.72 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Murray State Racers | 16c | 743.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 44c | 554$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 551$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Murray State Racers | 35c | 511.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 481.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Murray State Racers | 58c | 407.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Murray State Racers | 20c | 376.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Murray State Racers | 21c | 361.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 71c | 281.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Murray State Racers | 49c | 275.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 261.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 70c | 169$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 150.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 45c | 147.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Murray State Racers | 52c | 116.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Murray State Racers | 55c | 110.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 76c | 103$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 44c | 95.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Murray State Racers | 12c | 83.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 70.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Murray State Racers | 34c | 59.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Murray State Racers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Murray State Racers | 39c | 49.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 79c | 47.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Murray State Racers | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 36.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 30.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Murray State Racers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Murray State Racers | 44c | 28.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Murray State Racers | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Murray State Racers | 54c | 19.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthersthis page
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Murray State Racers vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-0.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.