Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Erika Sema vs Teah Chavez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a2058cc96ca005b212d2e71079102d422aeb0155abf60cb06ce4992f4d6849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teah Chavezof Erika Sema, Teah Chavez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Erika Sema | 52c | 2,566$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Teah Chavez | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Teah Chavez | 45c | 554.87$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Teah Chavez | 38c | 251.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Teah Chavez | 51c | 228.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Erika Sema | 60c | 187.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Erika Sema | 62c | 156.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Erika Sema | 56c | 110.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Teah Chavez | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Teah Chavez | 49c | 88.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Teah Chavez | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Erika Sema | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Teah Chavez | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Teah Chavez | 64c | 66.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Erika Sema | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Erika Sema | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Teah Chavez | 37c | 63.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Erika Sema | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Erika Sema | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Teah Chavez | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Erika Sema | 50c | 41.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Teah Chavez | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Erika Sema | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Teah Chavez | 40c | 31.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Teah Chavez | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Teah Chavez | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Teah Chavez | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Erika Sema | 47c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Teah Chavez | 42c | 25.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Erika Sema | 58c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Teah Chavez | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.