Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ad68a4de0cb6cc4bcef693ada8165022878ffa3b0381e6fb4956b5d4a78749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 50c | 2,411$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 1,870$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.42 | 965 | 42.9%414 W · 551 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 1,394$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.12 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…7fc8backed Under | 35c | 981.87$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 581.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 37c | 462.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 65c | 394.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 298.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…1531backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 284.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…1a59backed Over | 70c | 245$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Under | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 43c | 163.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 149.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 517 | 56.1%290 W · 227 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 109.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Over | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…a9fabacked Over | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 403 | 50.4%203 W · 200 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 56.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 480 | 42.9%206 W · 274 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 31.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2,316 | 42.8%991 W · 1,325 L | -41.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 66c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Erzurumspor FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.