Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdebd771d6a861494d202e886347a60e90f8b750fbcb1fc2f80e5a8f8fbdf47ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Under | 52c | 22,837$11,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,906.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 6,150$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.9 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 6,093$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.26 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 5,905$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.57 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 7c | 3,046$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 669 | 41.4%277 W · 392 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 2,752$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.6 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 2,196$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.38 | 965 | 42.9%414 W · 551 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 38c | 1,932$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,850$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.1 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 21c | 1,788$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 1,374$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.79 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…1531backed Over | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 47c | 979.16$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…7fc8backed Under | 62c | 916.76$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 809.42$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 453.35$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 63c | 313.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 49c | 275.51$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 205.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 39c | 201.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…e7debacked Over | 27c | 187.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 51c | 172.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Over | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 39c | 143.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 22c | 131.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 17c | 124$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 270 | 64.8%175 W · 95 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 121.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 1,480 | 37.8%560 W · 920 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 51c | 120.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 191 | 61.3%117 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Over | 14c | 117.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 93.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 58c | 90.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 78 | 74.4%58 W · 20 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 58c | 81.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 49c | 78.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 50c | 62.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 57.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 259 | 45.9%119 W · 140 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 655 | 50.1%328 W · 327 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 69c | 49.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed Under | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +331.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 38c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 25.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Over | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Erzurumspor FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.