Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Zakharova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56365da6169b8caf35bd20da31c6cdcfd59cff7e925ef334fca582b9368bdaea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasia Zakharovaof Ella Seidel, Anastasia Zakharova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,699 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ella Seidel | 20c | 1,983$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Ella Seidel | 11c | 1,763$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Ella Seidel | 2c | 1,436$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 1,362$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Ella Seidel | 22c | 1,126$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 891$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Anastasia Zakharova | 77c | 828.68$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 434.42$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 71c | 418$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Ella Seidel | 31c | 403.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ella Seidel | 46c | 345.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Anastasia Zakharova | 54c | 342$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ella Seidel | 42c | 325.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Ella Seidel | 22c | 293.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ella Seidel | 13c | 287.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 262.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Anastasia Zakharova | 75c | 254.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 254$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 238.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Ella Seidel | 44c | 236.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Ella Seidel | 44c | 210.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ella Seidel | 24c | 209.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ella Seidel | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Ella Seidel | 42c | 199.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ella Seidel | 29c | 187.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…4ed2backed Ella Seidel | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ella Seidel | 43c | 125.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Ella Seidel | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Anastasia Zakharova | 68c | 116.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Ella Seidel | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…7481backed Ella Seidel | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Ella Seidel | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ella Seidel | 41c | 87.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ella Seidel | 20c | 75.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ella Seidel | 40c | 66.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 64.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…6326backed Anastasia Zakharova | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ella Seidel | 41c | 44.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Ella Seidel | 44c | 41.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Ella Seidel | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 59c | 32.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 32.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…6be6backed Ella Seidel | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Anastasia Zakharova | 58c | 29.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Anastasia Zakharova | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Anastasia Zakharova | 57c | 24.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Anastasia Zakharova | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Anastasia Zakharova | 59c | 18.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…bc0fbacked Anastasia Zakharova | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Anastasia Zakharova | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.