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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ODDIKof ODDIK, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,171 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK62c789.3$487 inWon+$302.535,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ALKA24c698.27$170 inLost-$170.341,81959%1,074 W · 745 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed ALKA39c559$221 inLost-$220.5138841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked ODDIK61c513.34$311 inWon+$202.5411471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA20c500$99 inLost-$99.242,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ODDIK76c410.27$311 inWon+$98.915,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec1…9a95backed ALKA15c390$59 inLost-$58.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ALKA29c345.73$100 inLost-$99.962,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ALKA41c261.9$107 inLost-$107.237338.6%144 W · 229 L-1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ALKA37c188.28$70 inLost-$69.6662441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ALKA38c188.28$72 inLost-$71.5556448.2%272 W · 292 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked ALKA26c160$42 inLost-$41.686837.4%325 W · 543 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked ALKA36c138.88$50 inLost-$5027442.7%117 W · 157 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…e825backed ODDIK59c134.15$79 inWon+$54.662259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ODDIK75c121$91 inWon+$30.285,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ALKA14c108.23$15 inLost-$15.261,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ODDIK63c93.67$59 inWon+$34.6713567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ODDIK76c90.07$68 inWon+$21.872,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975d…cc7abacked ALKA23c89.53$21 inLost-$20.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ALKA16c88.79$14 inLost-$14.0923935.6%85 W · 154 L-19.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ALKA26c85.22$22 inLost-$22.1743855%241 W · 197 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ODDIK70c80$56 inWon+$241,49652.9%791 W · 705 L+30.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed ODDIK75c60.13$45 inWon+$14.923271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALKA41c50$21 inLost-$20.51,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ALKA41c50$21 inLost-$20.527449.3%135 W · 139 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked ODDIK63c40$25 inWon+$14.822963.3%145 W · 84 L+23.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ODDIK73c36.03$26 inWon+$9.612,24147.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L-59.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf161…0d3dbacked ODDIK73c19.15$14 inWon+$5.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.