CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b2f2e35196f519753e82d09c88b2fa8584a2956d60f78bfa11327f41a3aafa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ALKA | 56c | 10,030$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.39 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 44c | 8,009$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,471.59 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ODDIK | 44c | 1,902$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.48 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ODDIK | 45c | 1,508$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.43 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked ODDIK | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 114 | 71.1%81 W · 33 L | +18.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked ALKA | 55c | 969.7$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ALKA | 56c | 541.59$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.29 | 634 | 54.6%346 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ODDIK | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 54c | 321.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked ALKA | 55c | 308.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ODDIK | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked ALKA | 54c | 264$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed ALKA | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed ODDIK | 45c | 249.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ALKA | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1,184 | 48%568 W · 616 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked ALKA | 55c | 239$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed ALKA | 55c | 225.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 57c | 222.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed ODDIK | 45c | 199.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed ALKA | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed ALKA | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 253 | 50.6%128 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked ALKA | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…b344backed ALKA | 56c | 90.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked ODDIK | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ODDIK | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 59c | 55.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked ALKA | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 68.4%104 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed ALKA | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ODDIK | 41c | 51.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ALKA | 59c | 45.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked ALKA | 35c | 40.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 431 | 50.3%217 W · 214 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked ODDIK | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 356 | 63.5%226 W · 130 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…9ec7backed ODDIK | 41c | 36.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed ALKA | 56c | 33.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed ALKA | 56c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…fe57backed ALKA | 57c | 21.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked ALKA | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked ALKA | 54c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 299 | 50.8%152 W · 147 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…df3bbacked ALKA | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed ALKA | 55c | 18.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ALKA | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 889 | 54.4%484 W · 405 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group StageODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.