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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ODDIKof ODDIK, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,935 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK61c808.55$494 inWon+$314.965,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed ALKA39c599.16$236 inLost-$236.1738841.8%162 W · 226 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked ODDIK61c512.92$311 inWon+$201.9711471.1%81 W · 33 L+18.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA37c499.99$185 inLost-$185.062,50044.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L-67.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed ODDIK62c318.68$198 inWon+$121.113869.6%96 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ALKA37c308.93$113 inLost-$113.342,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed ALKA41c262.15$107 inLost-$107.337338.6%144 W · 229 L-1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked ALKA38c257.89$98 inLost-$981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ALKA37c188.28$70 inLost-$69.6662441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ALKA38c188.28$72 inLost-$71.5556448.2%272 W · 292 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed ALKA34c106.04$36 inLost-$36.2543855%241 W · 197 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed ODDIK62c102.87$64 inWon+$38.8713567.4%91 W · 44 L+19.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed ODDIK79c99.3$78 inWon+$21.0650564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed ALKA38c87.79$33 inLost-$33.1438649.7%192 W · 194 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked ALKA37c82.95$31 inLost-$30.691,81959%1,074 W · 745 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA33c58.5$19 inLost-$19.384,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked ODDIK60c58.32$35 inWon+$23.3322963.3%145 W · 84 L+23.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed ALKA36c55$20 inLost-$19.86744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ODDIK68c52$35 inWon+$16.882,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALKA41c50$21 inLost-$20.51,99547.5%948 W · 1,047 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed ALKA41c50$21 inLost-$20.527449.3%135 W · 139 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ODDIK71c30$21 inWon+$8.72,29343.3%994 W · 1,299 L-70.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb434…10d7backed ODDIK63c27$17 inWon+$9.995455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked ODDIK74c25$18 inWon+$6.644373.6%326 W · 117 L+43.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.