South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x572177cafc4d68ebf7924ddd87cc0cad178d3e6b240df082bffac6e240a67c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed Yes | 45c | 2,201$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,870$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 44c | 1,583$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 973.6$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 650.14$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…a53bbacked Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 490.42$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.72 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 280.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…4eefbacked Yes | 11c | 271.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 45c | 262.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…b5f3backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 45c | 245.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 41c | 243.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…f67fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 59c | 228$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 45c | 223.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 222.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 44c | 210.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 55c | 196$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 43c | 173.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 151.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 133$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 91.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 45c | 88.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Unión end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.