Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x572a1ee69c296d1b945760c62ac7c77dea29dd734ce27976f9ee5e44090aebdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof Team Orange Gaming, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 66c | 3,750$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.11 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 34c | 2,628$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.89 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 1,615$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.94 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Orange Gaming | 26c | 1,339$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 45c | 1,295$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.15 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…0c39backed Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 1,040$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 34c | 852.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.38 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…f0c8backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 749.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 49c | 645.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.7 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 632.15$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 58c | 573$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.55 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Team Orange Gaming | 12c | 525.12$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 57c | 519.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Orange Gaming | 46c | 513.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Orange Gaming | 23c | 499.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Orange Gaming | 4c | 447.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Orange Gaming | 66c | 445.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 36c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 38c | 396.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Orange Gaming | 66c | 387.59$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.81 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 36c | 329.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…0227backed Team Orange Gaming | 63c | 314.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team Orange Gaming | 63c | 309.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 355 | 60.8%216 W · 139 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 299$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 297.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 276.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 15c | 261.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.44 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Team Orange Gaming | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Orange Gaming | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 188.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Team Orange Gaming | 52c | 182.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 170.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 165.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 38c | 163.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 40c | 147$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…d554backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 39c | 128.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 40c | 126.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Orange Gaming | 51c | 113.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Orange Gaming | 64c | 70.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 32c | 53.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 51.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Team Orange Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…f1f8backed Team Orange Gaming | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Team Orange Gaming | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 38c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked Team Orange Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Orange Gaming | 40c | 27.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Team Orange Gaming | 63c | 23.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Team Orange Gaming | 61c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Orange Gaming | 65c | 20.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerTeam Orange Gaming won
- LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 4 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.