NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bfc0fd1276795790cf8e95a914213bf77d1a16f0a96f6993051226eec3ffb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Milwaukee Admirals, Grand Rapids Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,385 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 933.84$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Milwaukee Admirals | 31c | 692.65$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.93 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 441$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 322.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 257.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Admirals | 32c | 200.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 150.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 149.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Milwaukee Admirals | 33c | 137.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 131.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Admirals | 70c | 126.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Milwaukee Admirals | 34c | 121.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Milwaukee Admirals | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 31c | 53.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Milwaukee Admirals | 74c | 52.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 32c | 48.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 63c | 41.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.