Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Juan Manuel La Serna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58013474feb9ab247c620e08ea3b80a8a1cecc77a9b94e0987dde8478e9170e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel La Sernaof Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, Juan Manuel La Serna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 68c | 1,341$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 25c | 903.22$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 635.65$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 28c | 566.52$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 77c | 459.59$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 26c | 352.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 9c | 242.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 77c | 217.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 26c | 207.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 37c | 203.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 25c | 202.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 14c | 187.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 27c | 176.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 74c | 172$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…8cf0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 29c | 169.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 17c | 163.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 22c | 155.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 66c | 151.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 30c | 148$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 11c | 145.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 70c | 140.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 34c | 139.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 73c | 116.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 37c | 107.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 101.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 100.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 19c | 99.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 30c | 87.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 20c | 49.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 36c | 45.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 73c | 40.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 38c | 39.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 29.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 77c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 71c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.