Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5856414a15c7a8e52cfa2d8684442dee09649aacb57a2415fd17a0f64f593881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 58c | 284.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 38c | 282.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 236.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Yes | 62c | 233.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 40c | 216.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 142.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 58c | 108.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 96.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 36c | 48.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…8282backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…9c1ebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 62c | 23.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.