TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Austin FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Under46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over54c21,703$11,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,760.4213553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c14,798$7,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,990.7527837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c11,307$6,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,032.143,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over38c7,300$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.9813844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c6,380$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.453855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c4,819$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.0697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c4,246$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.7887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under49c3,904$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.894100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under45c2,422$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.223452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under45c2,360$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.223658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.224751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under45c1,973$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under46c1,645$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.0517258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under63c1,244$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.3128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63612263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ab…13a1backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over32c914.09$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.514551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over23c899.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c10…6482backed Under47c844.68$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over50c815.32$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under68c719.67$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4924046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under47c692.7$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c675.63$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c665.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c653.76$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5548344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under42c628.52$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.546732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Over62c616.96$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31815858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under66c593.27$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7519347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Under49c555.61$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19046156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under62c443.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.721070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over50c425.31$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4615748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c335$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over46c328.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under68c291$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over55c274.07$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c257.85$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.051,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff6…3a39backed Under62c240.73$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.824351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c228.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.941,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under46c226$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.112162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10613158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over50c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under68c199.11$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over44c184.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.464740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.355362.3%33 W · 20 L+12.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+83%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.814459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.811759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under47c154.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.654959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Under42c151.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over51c141$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9112849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over54c131.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.328257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over50c129.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4b…839fbacked Under62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.514660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over50c124.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6719560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.639234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over41c117$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Over54c111.11$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.521283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee74…abd9backed Over54c109.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over54c106.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.452860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5314459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over54c99.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4626150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under46c98.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7313461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Over53c94.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over53c92.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7619255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under44c89.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c88.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5128721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over55c85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.755459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under79c77.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c76.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.435050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over44c75.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4836051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c75.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6315458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over52c71.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under44c70.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over58c69.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914348.8%21 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c63.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.415259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over57c56.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.514560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under60c50.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.