TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Tokyo: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Ryotaro Taguchi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yusuke Kusuharaof Yusuke Kusuhara, Ryotaro Taguchi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ryotaro Taguchi36c18,109$6,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,471.362,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c6,906$5,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.296,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Yusuke Kusuhara31c2,822$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.782,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Yusuke Kusuhara77c1,420$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.211,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yusuke Kusuhara31c1,273$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.731,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yusuke Kusuhara34c807.64$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.531,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12536548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Yusuke Kusuhara38c612.58$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c563$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.672755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Yusuke Kusuhara32c333.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Ryotaro Taguchi68c252.84$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.261,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5040350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c232.05$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4155149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Kusuhara33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yusuke Kusuhara33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.523,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ryotaro Taguchi17c150.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.926,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yusuke Kusuhara35c145.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Ryotaro Taguchi65c142$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.191,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yusuke Kusuhara55c126.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.752,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2587854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ryotaro Taguchi13c113.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.765,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c111.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.334957.9%202 W · 147 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c108$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.656153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Yusuke Kusuhara33c106.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.061,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara77c99.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4278857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.227550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Yusuke Kusuhara33c81.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.822,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Yusuke Kusuhara30c75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.644051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1524557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c73.12$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.624,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yusuke Kusuhara76c72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4192046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c69.69$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9428264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yusuke Kusuhara72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4429148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c65.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1975350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.592355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.594255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yusuke Kusuhara32c59.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Ryotaro Taguchi68c57.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2372651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c57.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5614852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yusuke Kusuhara72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bce…db46backed Yusuke Kusuhara34c35.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4215854.4%86 W · 72 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yusuke Kusuhara80c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.629551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yusuke Kusuhara80c25.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.151,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Ryotaro Taguchi69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2519744.7%88 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Ryotaro Taguchi69c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yusuke Kusuhara57c21.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5187060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe69c…7f9bbacked Ryotaro Taguchi69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517168.4%117 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Ryotaro Taguchi77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Ryotaro Taguchi78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.639451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ryotaro Taguchi62c18.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.262,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.