Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585a7b58d7e7859b13b9d70764ebb89a9351bb025ab099fee1c4544e7ec4a346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Seattle Redhawks, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Seattle Redhawks | 46c | 6,767$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.82 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pacific Tigers | 54c | 4,261$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Seattle Redhawks | 20c | 1,770$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.32 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Pacific Tigers | 77c | 1,511$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.01 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 2c | 1,038$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pacific Tigers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Seattle Redhawks | 28c | 806.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 19c | 692$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pacific Tigers | 79c | 682.9$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Pacific Tigers | 80c | 567.48$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Pacific Tigers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Seattle Redhawks | 3c | 450$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pacific Tigers | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacific Tigers | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Seattle Redhawks | 23c | 262.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pacific Tigers | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Pacific Tigers | 77c | 195.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers | 53c | 194.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 24c | 185$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers | 63c | 170.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 44c | 166.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Seattle Redhawks | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 33c | 67.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 44c | 59.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Seattle Redhawks | 45c | 49.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Seattle Redhawks | 46c | 38.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pacific Tigers | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Pacific Tigers | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Pacific Tigers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Pacific Tigersthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.