Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: 100 Thieves vs. paiN Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58de9231e3710115a80199328b28ac3ff091cfbbecfdb260d6a2856dcbc918ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed paiN Gaming | 15c | 5,546$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.45 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 3,643$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.57 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 2,796$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…70aebacked paiN Gaming | 13c | 2,200$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked paiN Gaming | 15c | 1,974$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed paiN Gaming | 8c | 1,259$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed paiN Gaming | 18c | 972.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked paiN Gaming | 8c | 892.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed paiN Gaming | 12c | 710.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed paiN Gaming | 7c | 621.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 559.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 402.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked paiN Gaming | 7c | 227.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 221.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed paiN Gaming | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 135.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked paiN Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.