Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Leilany Ipunesso vs Karla Popovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e57c62733d2d0c20899c08092c24f786f75f3230dfda73524d84ad0baa2a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leilany Ipunessoof Leilany Ipunesso, Karla Popovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Karla Popovic | 73c | 2,221$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.81 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Karla Popovic | 75c | 799$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 22c | 548.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leilany Ipunesso | 20c | 527.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 28c | 491.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.77 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Leilany Ipunesso | 22c | 441.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.16 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leilany Ipunesso | 21c | 355.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karla Popovic | 79c | 269.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.73 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Leilany Ipunesso | 29c | 238.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karla Popovic | 68c | 229.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Leilany Ipunesso | 28c | 225.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Leilany Ipunesso | 28c | 212.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karla Popovic | 70c | 188.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karla Popovic | 70c | 168.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 117.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Leilany Ipunesso | 44c | 114.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 46c | 109.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Leilany Ipunesso | 29c | 48.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Leilany Ipunesso | 65c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Karla Popovic | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Karla Popovic | 50c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Karla Popovic | 75c | 19.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -15.6wins | -0.46per pick | 55cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karla Popovic | 53c | 18.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.