Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592b8cc05f4cb0d8d7000751479514f470cc61975f0656183824544bc7221d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 43c | 347.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 321.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 265.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 242$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ebdbacked Yes | 55c | 237$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 220.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 45c | 203.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 60c | 200.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 192.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 50c | 155.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 34c | 151.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 55c | 137.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…0dadbacked No | 74c | 135.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…1814backed No | 71c | 131.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 128.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 126.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 123.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 118.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 26c | 109.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 78c | 108.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…388cbacked No | 72c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 69c | 99.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 63c | 97.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 91.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 70c | 90.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 71c | 81.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 18c | 78.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 75c | 73.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 70.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 76c | 70.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked No | 76c | 69.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 69.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 50c | 68.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 31c | 68.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 75c | 64.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Yes | 66c | 64.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 63c | 59.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 23c | 59.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 79c | 58.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 57.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…7023backed Yes | 30c | 56.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +17.3wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 70c | 56.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 63c | 55.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 54c | 53.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 35c | 51.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 52c | 51.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…7e32backed Yes | 35c | 51.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 23c | 50.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 79c | 47.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…3375backed No | 30c | 47.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 40c | 47.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 45.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 44.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 33c | 44.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 29c | 40.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed Yes | 44c | 40.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 37.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…e087backed Yes | 54c | 37.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…05cfbacked Yes | 29c | 35.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 62c | 32.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 29.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…74b1backed No | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 52c | 25.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 65c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…813abacked Yes | 65c | 18.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 65c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 73c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 79c | 12.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.