Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x408da0c44e287caa955fb4c43324f382427c0d9125a1ec7d0289e009e6ef0b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 71c | 1,204$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 36c | 444.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 5c | 426.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 392.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 6c | 248.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 60c | 247.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 242$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 71c | 228.57$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 44c | 227.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Yes | 50c | 200.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fc…704fbacked No | 5c | 200.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 8c | 186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 26c | 176.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 171$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 168.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 167.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 48c | 142$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 54c | 141.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 140.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 46c | 135.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 122.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 120.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 119.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 117.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 117$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 43c | 110.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 77c | 96.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 48c | 94.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…0307backed No | 57c | 88.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 57c | 87.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 59c | 82.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed Yes | 68c | 81.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 38c | 78.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 74.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 45c | 72.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…0dadbacked No | 71c | 70.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 38c | 68.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 34c | 68.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 64.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 62.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 55c | 61.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 62c | 61.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 46c | 59.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 63c | 55.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 45c | 54.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…1ea8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 44c | 49.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 48.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 61c | 46.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 49c | 45.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 56c | 43.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 59c | 42.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 25c | 42.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 60c | 39.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…ec99backed No | 59c | 38.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…5368backed Yes | 39c | 38.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed Yes | 41c | 37.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 37.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 57c | 37.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 66c | 36.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 40c | 33.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 60c | 33.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…74b1backed No | 60c | 33.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 35c | 33.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…bfd3backed No | 54c | 31.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 59c | 29.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 50c | 29.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…4f19backed Yes | 48c | 27.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 50c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…08dfbacked No | 69c | 20.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 66c | 20.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…1334backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.