Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5936a9bcf8edbc9c4f406f2801e5895c5d633ab84ce362bb425f1e34d7c89186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 73c | 20,000$14,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 5,019$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.22 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 4,148$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.68 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.76 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,250$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 1,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 27c | 1,646$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,521$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.2 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 1,482$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.25 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 27c | 991.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 853.86$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 774.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.6 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 625$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 72c | 404.64$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…790cbacked No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 254$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 28c | 224.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 149.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 763 | 56.1%428 W · 335 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 72c | 102.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed No | 72c | 101.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 70.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…3c29backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…8b00backed No | 72c | 57.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…f977backed Yes | 26c | 53.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 49.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…2f84backed No | 72c | 48.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 72c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 37.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 73c | 27.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 71c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed No | 72c | 14.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.