Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8e31357e88ebdb0fdc3688915c4ede4afd977d8b3c68a368d1b694ac5447db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed No | 57c | 30,000$17,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,938.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 9,123$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.74 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 58c | 5,862$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.25 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 3,792$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.09 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 2,998$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.11 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 44c | 2,432$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 44c | 2,172$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.34 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 31c | 2,130$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.12 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 40c | 1,804$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.12 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 43c | 1,697$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.9 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,087$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.97 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 918.38$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 884.53$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.35 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No | 65c | 822$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 821.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.37 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 640.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…05d8backed Yes | 40c | 478.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 43c | 436$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 21c | 349$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.71 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 341$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 43c | 253.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Yes | 16c | 248.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 57c | 220.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 199.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yes | 11c | 198.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 159.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 43c | 154$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 102.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…e898backed Yes | 44c | 69.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…f092backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 37.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 55c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 73c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.