CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x599ba140781400cde476192da4132031fe09f6e730b5308b514dcdb99c43911e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Isurus, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Isurus | 52c | 1,146$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 727.18$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed paiN Academy | 49c | 662.91$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Isurus | 51c | 581.08$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.35 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked paiN Academy | 48c | 500.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 50c | 358.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed paiN Academy | 49c | 330.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed paiN Academy | 49c | 299.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked paiN Academy | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy | 51c | 132.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN Academy | 48c | 132.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 598 | 41.3%247 W · 351 L | -20.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Isurus | 51c | 131.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 50c | 52.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed paiN Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Isurus | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed Isurus | 52c | 27.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked paiN Academy | 49c | 27.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 1 WinnerpaiN Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.