CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8142af64384f4937b36386b9c5580384b117e62e9c207d6434d9a935618c0743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Academyof Isurus, paiN Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x748d…8251backed paiN Academy | 62c | 1,251$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isurus | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Isurus | 72c | 297.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed paiN Academy | 32c | 251.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 27c | 193.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Isurus | 50c | 159.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isurus | 15c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 116.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus | 18c | 114.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 55c | 105.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed paiN Academy | 32c | 79.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Isurus | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Isurus | 79c | 75.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Isurus | 60c | 68.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Isurus | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed paiN Academy | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Isurus | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 68c | 35.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Isurus | 68c | 25.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Isurus | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed paiN Academy | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)paiN Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.