TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Isurusof Isurus, paiN Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x748d…8251backed Isurus50c2,005$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy55c1,634$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.827,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked paiN Academy59c1,515$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.51,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Isurus50c1,400$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.9275545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Isurus53c947.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9317650.6%89 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Isurus76c872.83$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4243764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed paiN Academy14c710$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.456938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN Academy35c579.98$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.791,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Isurus70c490.41$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.635,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked paiN Academy46c332$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7239944.1%176 W · 223 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Isurus65c326.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.752,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN Academy41c307.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.282,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed paiN Academy66c301.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032643.3%141 W · 185 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Isurus34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19833050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Isurus73c280.27$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.678467.9%57 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked paiN Academy46c267.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.26258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed paiN Academy32c266.39$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0831843.1%137 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed paiN Academy32c257.35$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.357548%36 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed Isurus68c257.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.355846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy49c233.18$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.192,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…02febacked paiN Academy38c209.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.793644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed paiN Academy70c185.85$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6552850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed paiN Academy29c152.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.259841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed paiN Academy31c147.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.754148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed paiN Academy27c139.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5433844.4%150 W · 188 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed paiN Academy50c132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665756.1%32 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN Academy63c126$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.281,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed paiN Academy56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.589853.1%52 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Isurus50c124.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2814648.6%71 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed paiN Academy49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026648.5%129 W · 137 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Isurus68c88.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.473557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus53c87.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.362,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Isurus45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.752,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Isurus75c83.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.085,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed paiN Academy32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked paiN Academy80c80$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.681,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Isurus62c79.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.079053.3%48 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed paiN Academy50c78.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0232138.6%124 W · 197 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN Academy55c70.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.021,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Isurus60c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1150548.1%243 W · 262 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.195,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus70c56.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.755,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked paiN Academy55c52.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9520250%101 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Isurus70c45.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5917068.2%116 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Isurus45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5882142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Isurus59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9623847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042e…462ebacked Isurus43c43.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Isurus70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.864259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN Academy44c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Isurus66c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.453,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed paiN Academy32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.823150.2%116 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Isurus52c39.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,14254.4%621 W · 521 L-4.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Isurus70c38.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.578846.6%41 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN Academy50c37.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9481744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe37f…6635backed paiN Academy67c35.39$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.653259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9491…5eabbacked paiN Academy52c35.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked paiN Academy55c31.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Isurus62c31.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.941464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked paiN Academy45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN Academy55c29.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Isurus60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Isurus58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.867343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Isurus55c25.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2943457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN Academy42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed paiN Academy76c15.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.516661.4%102 W · 64 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.