Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ec70ac1f7c78456c7e490d438f0a5507ad69009187b7e28033d4690ed30bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked REKONIX | 17c | 1,175$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 23c | 725.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 22c | 499.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 10c | 387$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 6c | 332.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed REKONIX | 10c | 208.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 5c | 187.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 21c | 128.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 126.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 23c | 90.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…97f7backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed REKONIX | 25c | 57.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 54.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 41.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.