WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a568b3bff64ecb818275588d069da0b8f995a2d781734b0a3105a6a9ceb087f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,188$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 1,221$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.44 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Over | 53c | 996.01$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 47c | 297.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 49c | 204.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 199.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 46c | 112.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 48c | 105.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 96.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 49c | 55.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 49c | 25.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…90f2backed Over | 54c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.