WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad7b6c6ef00137547b3039722bbf74d8030436cac81f8eb209f7c9db0e7bdfd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Golden State Valkyries, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 16,643$8,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,490.85 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 16,200$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,262 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.09 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,205$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 784.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 474.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 308$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 299.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 287.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 239.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 123.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 89.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 29.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…19babacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.