WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf828f6344538c94d6e39a8257b3898113c2e50e32bf3b3d67c4caac6f57088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Golden State Valkyries, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 794.05$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.26 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 500.8$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.15 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 86.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 81.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 81.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 53.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 50.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Chicago Sky | 30c | 48.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.