Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a70e4709a217895452ec63302d6febf02b33a948c5f05c604ccd0d32a12a3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Dimitar Kuzmanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 3c | 7,713$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 10c | 6,180$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.92 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 33c | 1,139$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 3c | 1,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 1,000$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 730.83$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 20c | 640.23$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2c | 618.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 32c | 583.82$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 31c | 516.52$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 17c | 508.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Choinski | 76c | 414.42$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 311.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 197.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 155.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 150.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 10c | 149.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 7c | 140.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 37c | 138.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 30c | 132.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 32c | 121.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 105.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 104.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 97.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 88.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 31c | 75.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 65.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 22c | 62.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 59.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jan Choinski | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 28c | 46.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Jan Choinski | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Dimitar Kuzmanov | 25c | 45.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 29.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…141abacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 13.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 75cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.