Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a82302f1b4f183643853759e6a70f3eddf92e417300d13a9d5e4bc398973c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clara Burelof Clara Burel, Deborah Chiesa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Clara Burel | 46c | 1,541$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.8 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Clara Burel | 42c | 1,280$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.69 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Deborah Chiesa | 52c | 748.44$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Deborah Chiesa | 58c | 602$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.16 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Deborah Chiesa | 54c | 524.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Clara Burel | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Deborah Chiesa | 57c | 236.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Deborah Chiesa | 25c | 204.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Deborah Chiesa | 54c | 187.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Deborah Chiesa | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Deborah Chiesa | 39c | 103.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Deborah Chiesa | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Clara Burel | 33c | 93.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Clara Burel | 37c | 81.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Clara Burel | 46c | 75.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Deborah Chiesa | 55c | 73.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Deborah Chiesa | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Deborah Chiesa | 62c | 64.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Clara Burel | 67c | 56.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Deborah Chiesa | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Clara Burel | 41c | 50.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Deborah Chiesa | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Deborah Chiesa | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Deborah Chiesa | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Deborah Chiesa | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Clara Burel | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.