Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a98f038e662f3b61ebd4b7fa6ae18785264646497419504f0448aea38c7e5a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 75c | 5,445$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.19 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 1,334$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,008$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 26c | 570$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 25c | 504.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 21c | 228$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 176.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 150.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 124.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 83.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 75c | 71.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 65.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Yes | 20c | 59.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 25c | 54.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 25c | 54.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 25c | 50.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 25c | 48.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 47.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 76c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.