Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e25f4bbc0849a0cf69f86070c283b1c8b36b3b58f0a91a6badfcc5ffd121e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 76c | 18,000$13,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 12,529$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 7,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 24c | 4,042$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 24c | 1,562$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 1,403$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 73c | 1,353$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 970.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 74c | 847.95$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 780.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 710.72$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 429$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 26c | 412.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 10c | 236.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 11c | 112.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 11c | 112.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 89.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 21c | 75.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 69.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Yes | 24c | 68.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 65.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 53.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…bdb3backed No | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 75c | 22.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 78c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.